NFL Week 5

Got to do this quickly and early, as I will be off the grid starting tomorrow morning through Monday night…

Sunday 1:00
Jaguars @ Buffalo, pick
Pick? Really? Well, I’m sure as hell not picking the Bills without getting points, no matter where the game is.

Chiefs @ Indianapolis(-7)
Colts

Buccaneers @ Cincinnati(-6.5)
Too many points. Tampa.

Packers @ Washington(+2.5)
Green Bay

Rams @ Detroit(-3)
St. Louis

Bears @ Carolina(-1)
What? I know Chicago wasn’t good last week, but… clearly someone knows something I don’t. Panthers.

Giants @ Houston(-3)
Spread seems spot on. Giants.

Broncos @ Baltimore(-7)
Ravens

Falcons @ Cleveland(+3)
Browns have been hot against the spread, I’ll take Cleveland.

Sunday ~4:10
Saints @ Arizona(+7)
New Orleans finally gets a big win.

Titans @ Dallas(-7)
I don’t like the Titans right now, but that seems too rich. Tennessee.

Chargers @ Oakland(+6)
San Diego

SNF
Eagles @ San Francisco(-3.5)
Wow, Vegas hating on Kolb. Vegas is probably right. Niners.

MNF
Vikings @ New Jersey Jets(-4)
Jets

2 thoughts on “NFL Week 5”

  1. I’m on the road too, in Chicago. Brief explanations of insane picks below.

    Sunday 1:00
    Jaguars @ Buffalo, pick
    Bills (Jags won their superbowl and will not be interested here.)

    Chiefs @ Indianapolis(-7)
    Kansas City (Indy doesn’t ever seem to cover)

    Buccaneers @ Cincinnati(-6.5)
    Bengals (Bucs have no running game and no pass protection)

    Packers @ Washington(+2.5)
    Redskins (too close to call, so I’ll take the points.)

    Rams @ Detroit(-3)
    St. Louis (They are better. Wrong team favored)

    Bears @ Carolina(-1)
    Chicago (They won’t have Cutler which will make them actually play harder. Also, the Panthers have no kind of pass rush.)

    Giants @ Houston(-3)
    Texans (Let’s shovel some more coal under Coughlin’s seat)

    Broncos @ Baltimore(-7)
    Denver (Moreno is back and the Broncos have beaten every spread this year)

    Falcons @ Cleveland(+3)
    Atlanta (Delhomme is starting)

    Sunday ~4:10
    Saints @ Arizona(+7)
    Cardinals (The Saints don’t seem to have a big win in them. Plus, Arizona will be playing for pride against the team that knocked them out last year.)

    Titans @ Dallas(-7)
    Tennessee (The Cowboys will be looking past this game)

    Chargers @ Oakland(+6)
    Raiders (Got burned on a similar pick last week. Maybe I’m dumb. Or maybe putting too much faith in them getting up for a rivalry game.)

    SNF
    Eagles @ San Francisco(-3.5)
    Philadelphia (Niners are done. Singletary is one loss away – I wouldn’t want to fire him, though. Hire Ditka for one day to do it.)

    MNF
    Vikings @ New Jersey Jets(-4)
    J-E-T-S, Jets Jets Jets! (They’ll want to beat up on Favre. Also, Pace and Revis are back.)

  2. San Diego at St. Louis (+9)
    Bradford was clearly missing Clayton last week and they got dogged by the Lions. I think Bradford will be fine, especially considering how Jason Campbell torched the Chargers in the second half last week. I think the Rams can hang. I’ll take the points.

    Baltimore at New England (-2.5)
    The Ravens are better. The Patriots are one-dimensional and the Ravens can cover the pass. I love getting points.

    Atlanta at Philadelphia (-2)
    The Eagles can be run on, and Atlanta can run the ball. I think that’s the real key. I’ll take the points and the Falcons.

    Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-14)
    Should be a 3 TD spread. Take the Steelers. Colt McCoy will be starting for the Browns.

    New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+4.5)
    The Saints are clearly not the same team this year. That should be ok, though, because Tampa is really reeling from injuries, especially in the secondary. Brees will have a big game. Give the points and take the Saints.

    Seattle at Chicago (-6.5)
    The Seahawks with no running game and on the road. I’ll take Chicago even without Cutler. Give the points. Bears.

    Detroit at New York(NYG) (-19)
    Calvin Johnson is out. They won’t be able to keep up. I’ll give the big number and take the Giants at home.

    Miami at Green Bay (-3)
    Despite the injuries on defense, I like the Packers to bounce back and handle Miami. Aaron Rodgers will start. Give the points.

    Kansas City at Houston (-4.5)
    The Texans will bounce back this week – Johnson and Foster should be healthier. They’ll be ready after an ugly loss. On the other hand, KC gave everything they had and just missed beating the Colts. Its asking a lot for another performance like that on the road. I’ll give the points and take Houston.

    Oakland at San Francisco (-7)
    An 0-5 team favored by a touchdown. Really? I’ll take that bet. Give me the points and the Raiders.

    New York(NYJ) at Denver (+3.5)
    Orton is playing out of his mind and Revis is out, but I don’t think you can beat the Jets as a one-dimensional team. The Pats couldn’t do it and neither will Denver. I’ll give the points and take the Jets.

    Dallas at Minnesota (-1.5)
    I think this is a pick-em game, so I’ll take Dallas because I think they’re a little better.

    Indianapolis at Washington (+3)
    The Redskins had their big game last week. Don’t know if they’ll be up for this one. Plus they give up a lot of passing yards. Indy, on the other hand, gives up a lot of rushing yards, but Portis is out. Give the points and take the Colts.

    Tennessee at Jacksonville (+3)
    Breather factor for the Titans after their big win last week. Plus the Jaguars play their best against division opponents. Jones-Drew will be able to run against the Titans small front which will negate the Titans pass rush. I’ll take the points and the Jaguars.

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