{"id":637,"date":"2015-04-29T14:48:44","date_gmt":"2015-04-29T19:48:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/?p=637"},"modified":"2015-04-29T14:48:44","modified_gmt":"2015-04-29T19:48:44","slug":"magic-origins-rptq-metagame-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/2015\/04\/magic-origins-rptq-metagame-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Magic Origins RPTQ Metagame Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"

So, WoTC just released the Top 8 Decklists<\/a> for the Magic Orgins Regional Pro Tour Qualifiers. I had fun perusing the lists and, of course, I noticed that many of the same decks came up a lot. I started to wonder how just how much \u201ca lot\u201d was for some of the decks, and decided to write a little script and made some graphs. I thought people might like to see them as well. Here\u2019s the breakdown of the major players:<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

A lot of Esper Dragons and a lot of red aggro. I just scraped the deck titles as they appeared on the WoTC site (with a few corrections of obvious typos), so the \u201cred aggro\u201d category doesn\u2019t split out Atarka Red from mono-red builds. I just skimmed over the lists so I don\u2019t have a clear sense of how that category actually breaks down.<\/p>\n

Notice that the \u201cother\u201d category is less than 20% of the total metagame. I\u2019m not sure exactly what that means, but it\u2019s 24 different decks in those 39 \u201cother\u201d so most are 1- or 2-ofs in that group.<\/p>\n

I also like to look at which deck actually won, though here I suspect that there were a lot of decks that \u201cwon\u201d in name only since either the whole top 8 or in some cases just the top 4 qualified. Thus, it\u2019s not clear how much incentive there was to actually come in first at these. Regardless, here\u2019s the graph:<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

So, Esper Dragons not only was the most frequent deck in the top 8, it also had a high conversion rate once it got there. Abzan Midrange also did quite well, converting 12 top 8 entries into 3 first-place finishes. Notice that the \u201cother\u201d category is a bit larger, with 7 unique decks in there, most notably not<\/i> including Bant Midrange or Sidisi Whip. (There was one each of Abzan Control and Red-Green Dragons.) <\/p>\n

The best converters of top 8 into winner, though, were Chromantiflayer and Temur Dragons, both of which had 2 top 8s and 1 win, so a 50% rate. (In fact, the best conversion rate was actually 100%\u2014Flores\u2019s Blue Dragonlord Control deck\u2014but that wasn\u2019t exactly a known metagame choice going in, whereas we\u2019d all seen Chromantiflayer and Temur Dragons before.)<\/p>\n

Hopefully this, in combination with the usual GP and SCG results, are useful\/interesting in helping people navigate the near-future Standard metagame.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

So, WoTC just released the Top 8 Decklists for the Magic Orgins Regional Pro Tour Qualifiers. I had fun perusing the lists and, of course, I noticed that many of the same decks came up a lot. I started to wonder how just how much \u201ca lot\u201d was for some of the decks, and decided … Continue reading Magic Origins RPTQ Metagame Analysis<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[14],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/637"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=637"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/637\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":638,"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/637\/revisions\/638"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=637"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=637"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/byrneweb.com\/sunburn\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=637"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}