NFL Week 14 Picks

Sunday, 1:00
Raiders(3) @ New Jersey Jest
The Jest have to lose to stay in the Reggie hunt, and I think they’ll oblige. Raiders.

Rams @ Minnesota(7)
That’s a slightly bigger number than I expected, but right now I’m definitely on the Vikings bandwagon since Culpepper went down. Plus, Harvard-boy didn’t look quite so hot against a real defense last week.

Colts(9) @ Jacksonville
You see that bit last week where Manning wanted to run another play at the end of the half? He seems like he’s ticked and wants to run it up on people. I’ve heard all this talk about the Jags play them tough and all, but this is a backup QB and backup RB. Colts all the way.

Browns @ Cincinnati(13)
Another one of those “how high would the spread have to be for me to pick the other way?” games. I think it’d have to be about 18.

Bucs @ Carolina(6)
There’s a “living on borrowed time” feeling to the Bucs this year, I think. I like the Panthers at home in this one.

Patriots(4) @ Buffalo
Hooray for the small spread. Pats.

Bears @ Pittsburgh(6.5)
I don’t know if anyone has noticed, but the Steelers look a little out of sync lately. That’s a bad thing against the Chicago D. I don’t see Pittsburgh covering this.

Texans @ Tennessee(6.5)
The Texans will lose, tightening their grip on the Reggie pick, this we know. But will they keep it close, like they did against the Ravens? I think so.

Sunday, ~4:10
Giants(9) @ Philadelphia
Why is this spread not double digits? I see no reason to think the Eagles won’t take another huge beating this week. Maybe not 42-0, but they won’t be in this game.

Niners @ Seattle(16)
Their last game was actually close, but that was in SF. Seattle blows them out this time.

Redskins(4) @ Arizona
The Cardinals suck and the Redskins, while not especially good, don’t. Thus, I’m taking Washington.

Chiefs @ Dallas(3)
Toughest pick on the board for me, as I can see this going either way. I guess that means I should take the points, right? <shrug> OK, I will.

Ravens @ Denver(14.5)
Some chinks in the armor showing in Denver. They’ll win, but not by more than two TDs. Ten would have been a better spread here.

Dolphins @ San Diego(13.5)
On the theory that the Chargers are horribly inconsistent, I’m looking for this game to be close after last week’s blowout. Take the points.

ESPN
Lions @ Green Bay(6)
I’m waiting for the Lions to just literally start finger-pointing right in the middle of a game. Packers.

MNF
Saints @ Atlanta(10.5)
The Falcons will win, but they never play well against the Saints, so I don’t think they’ll cover this spread. Too rich for my blood.