NFL Week 12 Picks

Sunday 1:00
Eagles @ Ravens(-1.5)
Westbrook is banged up and the Eagles just simply aren’t that good. I know the Ravens got roughed up last week by the Giants, but the Eagles aren’t in the same class. Baltimore covers.

Texans @ Cleveland(-3)
Houston is like 0-8 in their last 8 road games, and I see no reason to believe this will change anytime soon. Give the points.

Niners @ Dallas(-10)
You have to like the effort from San Fran lately, and while I think the Cowboys will win, I don’t see them putting up something huge. I’ll take the Niners and the points.

Buccaneers @ Detroit(+9)
The Lions are hopeless. I’m now actively rooting for 0-16. Oh, and the Bucs will cover this, probably 10-0 or 13-3.

Vikings @ Jacksonville(-2.5)
The Jaguars can’t seem to put it together—I’ll take the points.

Bills @ Kansas City(+3)
I dunno, there’s no reason to pick the Bills here, but I’m going to anyway.

Patriots @ Miami, pick
The best analysis I heard for this was that with the early game last Thursday, Belichick has 10 days to prepare for a team he’s facing the second time. I’ll gamble on the Pats here.

Bears @ St. Louis(+9)
The Rams will again be without Stephen Jackson, and while the Bears were humiliated last week, they should have little trouble smoking the hapless Lambs.

Jets @ Tennessee(-5.5)
OK, so both teams are great at stopping the run. However, I think the Titans have the better pass defense and there’s always the chance we get to see “bad Brett” force a few balls into double coverage. Tennessee to cover.

Sunday ~4:10
Raiders @ Denver(-9.5)
While the Broncos aren’t all that good, Oakland is simply awful. And there is no team Shanahan likes to run it up on like the Raiders. I’ll give the points.

Panthers @ Atlanta(-1)
I have absolutely no idea here. I like the idea of the Falcons winning because it makes the division race really interesting since the Bucs are pretty much a lock to win, and then Atlanta would be only one game back of both Carolina and Tampa. So, since that’s what I’d like to see happen, I’m going the other way and taking the point.

Giants @ Arizona(+3)
Three points? Man, Vegas really wants people to pick the Giants here—which they should. Look, the Cardinals are a nice story, but seriously, watch the Giants a little. They’re fantastic, and I only have to give a field goal.

Redskins @ Seattle(+3.5)
Is Portis healthy? I think he’s supposed to be OK this week. If so, then Washington covers.

SNF
Colts @ San Diego(-2.5)
I have no idea why the Chargers are favored here. The Colts are getting better by the week and San Diego, well, they still have Norv at the helm. I’ll take Indy.

MNF
Packers @ New Orleans(-2.5)
Seems like the wrong team is favored here. I know they have the same overall record and it’s in the Big Easy and everything, but still, the Packers just look better. I like getting points here.