Last week: 6-8                 Season: 57-51-6
Al last week: 5-9        Al season: 51-57-6

Sunday, 1:00
Texans @ New Jersey Giants(-13)
Plax is probably out and the Giants will treat this as a bye, so they’ll only win by 10. Houston.

Saints @ Tampa(+1)
It’ll be interesting to see how the Saints play on the road after that stretch of home games. I think they’re better than the Bucs, though, so I’m giving the point.

Packers @ Buffalo(-3)
Green Bay has been showing some signs of life lately, I’ll take the points.

Cowboys @ Washington(+3)
I shudder at the thought of Parcells kissing any more of his players, but I expect he’ll have reason to this week; Dallas covers.

Dolphins @ Chicago(-13.5)
The Bears have seen a lot of big spreads this year, and they’ve mostly covered them. No reason to stop now.

Titans @ Jacksonville(-9.5)
Leftwich on the bench, and Jax at home? OK, Jags cover.

Falcons @ Detroit(+5.5)
OK, what does Vegas know that I don’t? With a spread this small, they clearly want me to take the Falcons, but now I’m concerned. Oh, well, Vick and they boys handle this easily, right?

Bengals @ Baltimore(-3)
Something is horribly amiss in Cinci. I have to take the Ravens here.

Chefs @ St. Louis(-2)
I rather like getting points here. Chefs.

Sunday, ~4:15
Vikings @ San Francisco(+5)
Again, kind of a suspicious spread. I guess the Vikings got humiliated on national TV last week by the Pats, but they’re still a lot better than SF.

Broncos @ Pittsburgh(-3)
This is just totally dumbfounding. How is a 2-5 team favored over a 5-2 team? The Steelers lost to Oakland, for god’s sake. Denver all the way here.

Browns @ San Diego(-12.5)
More points than I’d like to be giving here, but I just can’t see taking Cleveland on the road.

Sunday NBC
Colts @ New England(-3)
This would be an easy pick if it were the postseason. In the regular season I’m not so sure. The Pats might not show much since, given the division they’re in, they can afford to lose. On the other hand, they might win by simply running up the middle all game. At some point being unable to stop the run has to cost the Colts, right? OK, I’ve talked myself into it, Pats.

MNF
Raiders @ Seattle(-7)
OK, so the Raiders aren’t quite as bad as I thought they’d be this year, mostly because of their defense. And it’s Seneca Wallace and Maurice Morris going against that defense, right? My god, I’m picking Oakland…