Not too much detail today, but a few comments here and there. First, an overall comment: Literally every home team is favored. Many are favored by 2.5… meaning Vegas doesn’t know, either. Home field isn’t really that big, is it?
Sunday 1:00
Bills @ Kansas City(-7)
OK, well, home field in KC probably is huge… and the Bills still stink. Chefs.
Jaguars @ Dallas(-6.5)
The Cowboys always get favorable spreads because people like them, but they shouldn’t be favored over anyone with Jon Kitna starting!
Panthers @ St. Louis(-2)
Gotta like the Rams at home against an offense that might do nothing.
Dolphins @ Cincinnati(-1)
Miami is better than their record. Cinci isn’t. I like getting a point here.
Redskins @ Detroit(-2.5)
At first I couldn’t believe this spread… and then I saw McNabb probably won’t play. Yeah, OK, I’ll take the Lions.
Broncos @ San Francisco(-2.5)
Alex Smith is out… which maybe means that they’ll actually be even better. Broncos are in a tailspin. Give the points.
Titans @ San Diego(-4)
OK, here’s one I really don’t get. Titans are 5-2 against the spread, Chargers are 2-5… and the Titans are ‘dogs here? OK, I’ll take the points.
Packers @ New Jersey Jets(-6)
Green Bay is a M.A.S.H. unit. Jets cover.
Sunday ~4:10
Buccaneers @ Arizona(-3)
Again, seems like the wrong team is favored. I’ll happily take these gift points.
Vikings @ New England(-6)
So, my brother, who is a Pats fan, was asking people who Pats fans would rather see, Favre or Jackson? He said the best answer he got before mine was “Tarvaris is probably worth a fumble and a pick, and Favre is probably worth two picks.” So it’s a wash, right? My answer: “Jackson, so that way the game announcers might actually talk about the game instead of slupring Favre for three hours.” New England.
Seahawks @ Oakland(-2.5)
No idea. Seattle?
SNF
Steelers @ New Orleans(-1)
The Saints still aren’t right, but Pittsburgh is playing really well. I’ll happily take the underdog Steelers.
MNF
Texans @ Colts(-5.5)
Houston can’t stop the pass, but Dallas Clark is out, Addai is out, Collie is probably out, Garcon and Wayne and Gonzalez are nicked up but will play, and the Colts are still favored by almost a TD. Why? The Texans can’t stop the pass, with Ryans out for the season they won’t be able to stop the run. The Colts defense probably can’t stop the Texans all that well, either, with Johnson healthy again (finally). If the Colts were fully healthy, I would easily give this. Right now I’m not so sure. Can the Texans really sweep the Colts? Nah… I’ll give the points.
Sunday 1:00
Bills @ Kansas City(-7)
Buffalo is not good, but they have fight. I think their passing game is good enough to give KC trouble. I also think that the KC offense is too inconsistent to be laying 7 points (Jaguars notwithstanding). I like getting 7.
Jaguars @ Dallas(-6.5)
Jacksonville doesn’t seem to care about any team but the Colts. Dallas wins big even with Kitna.
Panthers @ St. Louis(-2)
Amazing this is only 2. The Panthers are awful. Take the Rams.
Dolphins @ Cincinnati(-1)
Dolphins are the underdog here…really? Why is it that Henne looks like Marino against the Jets and like Sanchez against everyone else? Whatever. If he minimizes the mistakes and hands off a lot to the two headed monster, they should be able to win a close one. Don’t be fooled by Palmer’s gaudy stats. He sucks. Miami.
Redskins @ Detroit(-2.5)
Not sure why Detroit is favored. Am I being tricked into picking the Redskins? I dunno. I guess so. Maybe because Stafford is back? I’ll take the Redskins and the points.
Broncos @ San Francisco(-2.5)
Some people at work argued with me that Singletary should not be blamed for any of this. Look…there’s only so much you can get of players by hollering at them, and staring at them with scary pop-eyes. Broncos light ’em up in the air. Gore won’t get enough carries to provide consistency. Take the points and Denver.
Titans @ San Diego(-4)
This is simply a must win for the Chargers. They put it together this week. Give the points and take San Diego.
Packers @ New Jersey Jets(-6)
The Jets will make some stupid mistakes on offense. They won’t score enough touchdowns to cover. I’ll take the Pack and the points.
Sunday ~4:10
Buccaneers @ Arizona(-3)
Wait, didn’t I hear the Buccaneers are the best team in the NFC? No brainer! Tampa Bay and the points.
Vikings @ New England(-6)
I like the Vikings to rally behind Jackson. Also, I’m not impressed with the Moss move, I think it limits the Patriots offense. This game will be close and I like the Vikings straight up. Take the points.
Seahawks @ Oakland(-2.5)
After that crazy game last week, no way the Raiders come with much fight. Seattle has a decent pass rush and stop the run pretty well. I’ll take Seattle and the points.
SNF
Steelers @ New Orleans(-1)
I like the Saints at home. Give the point.
MNF
Texans @ Colts(-5.5)
This game is a coin flip to me, so I’ll take the points and the Texans.